Since the initial release of the Significant Oil and Gas Fields of the United States Database in 1985, Richard Nehring, President and Founder of Nehring Associates, has written more than twenty-five papers and presentations using the database. Selected examples of these papers are listed below to illustrate many of the various uses of the database.
TRANSFORMATIVE AND DISRUPTIVE: SHALE GAS AND U.S. GAS SUPPLY
This presentation prepared for the RMAG/COGA annual meeting in July, 2010, discusses the transformative and
disruptive effects, both nationally and in the Rocky Mountain region, of the shale gas revolution.
JUST HOW ENORMOUS IS THE “ENORMOUS” U.S. GAS RESOURCE?
This presentation, made for the AAPG Annual Meeting in New Orleans in April, 2010, explores the uncertainty in
recent estimates of the U.S. gas resources and its implications for long-term supply and energy policy. (Click
HERE for this presentation.)
OVERTHROWING THE PARADIGM: THE TRANSFORMATION OF U.S. GAS SUPPLY
This presentation, developed for the 24th World Gas Conference in Buenos Aires in October 2009, examines the
changes in US. gas supply since 1950, emphasizing the emergence of unconventional gas in the past twenty years. (Click
HERE for this presentation.)
WILL THE OPERATIONAL SUCCESS OF U.S. GAS PRODUCERS BE A FINANCIAL FIZZLE?
This paper was published in the Oil and Gas Investor in January, 2009 under the title: "The Disruptive Shales".
(Click HERE for this paper.)
GROWING AND INDISPENSABLE
This presentation, prepared for the Rocky Mountain Energy Epicenter in July, 2008, describes the recent
contributions of Rocky Mountain gas production and reserves to national gas supply.
THE OIL RECOVERY GROWTH POTENTIAL OF THE PERMIAN BASIN, USA
This poster, first presented at the November 2006 NPG Hedberg Conference on Understanding World Oil Resources,
provides a play-by-play analysis of oil recovery growth potential in the Permian Basin. Twenty-one plays, each with at
least an ultimate recovery potential exceeding 0.5 billion bbls., are examined. The poster was subsequently presented at
the Annual AAPG Convention in Long Beach in April 2007 and the Annual Convention of the WTGS in Midland in October 2007.
(Click HERE for this poster.)
DOES THE HUBBERT METHOD PROVIDE A RELIABLE MEANS OF PREDICTING FUTURE OIL PRODUCTION?
This paper, published initially in the Oil and Gas Journal in April, 2006, examines annual and cumulative
discovery curves as of 1964, 1982, and 2000 for the Permian Basin and San Joaquin Valley to examine whether they provide a
reliable means of predicting future oil production accurately. (This paper is also available at
www.pirinc.org/Publications - posted October 2006.)
GROWING AND INDISPENSABLE: THE CONTRIBUTION OF PRODUCTION FROM TIGHT GAS SANDS TO U.S. GAS PRODUCTION
This paper, originally prepared as a poster for AAPG's Hedberg Conference on Understanding Tight Sandstone Gas
in April 2005, examines the contribution to U.S. gas production from tight sandstone reservoirs and other unconventional
sources between 1990 to 2003. This poster was subsequently converted to a paper, expanded, and updated to 2005. It appears
as Chapter 2 in Cumella, Shanley, and Camp, eds., Understanding, Explaining, and Developing Tight-gas Sands, AAPG Hedberg
Series #3, May 2008.
WHEN EVERYBODY FOLLOWS, WHERE DO THEY GO? WHY WE NEED TO RETHINK CURRENT NORTH AMERICAN EXPLORATION AND EXPLOITATION STRATEGY
This paper, originally presented to the AAPG Annual Meeting in Salt Lake City in May 2003, examines the validity
of what appears to be the dominant approach to upstream strategy today in the light of recent major play developments.
THE FUTURE OF U.S. GULF OF MEXICO BASIN GAS PRODUCTION
This presentation, prepared for the EPRI Natural Gas Workshop in October 2001, analyzes recent trends in past
gas production and projects production to 2010 in both the onshore and offshore portions of the Gulf of Mexico Basin.
THE GULF OF MEXICO: RISING STAR OR OVER THE HILL?
This presentation, prepared for EIA’s Annual Energy Outlook Conference in March 2001, analyzes the factors
shaping offshore gas production in the Gulf of Mexico to 2015.
THE PAST AND FUTURE OF THE GULF OF MEXICO OCS SHELF
This paper, prepared for the 50th Annual Convention of the Gulf Coast Association of Geological Societies in
October, 2000, examines the composition of reserve additions on the shelf from 1991 to 1998 as clues to determining its
future production.
DOES ONLY CONVENTIONAL OIL PRODUCTION MATTER?
This paper, prepared in 1999, analyzes the composition of recent U.S. oil production by both conventional and
non-conventional sources.
IS THE UNITED STATES RUNNING OUT OF UPSTREAM OPPORTUNITIES?
This paper, published in the Oil and Gas Journal in November 1998, examines recent reserve additions in the United
States, both in the aggregate and by specific fields, as a means of estimating remaining opportunities.
OIL AND GAS RESOURCES
This chapter, part of the GSA’s volume on The Gulf of Mexico Basin (1991), provides a detailed description of the
known oil and gas resources of the Gulf of Mexico Basin in both the United States and Mexico.
THE CREATIVE EVOLUTION OF EXPLORATION CONCEPTS IN THE UNITED STATES
This paper was the Haas-Pratt AAPG Distinguished Lecture for 1990-1991.
LET’S GET RID OF DUMB EXPLORATION
This paper, first presented at the annual SEC Convention in October 1989, discusses recent improvements in
exploration efficiency.
WHAT REALLY HAPPENED IN 1986?
This paper, first presented at the Houston Geotech in September 1987, examines what happened to industry
results, as opposed to inputs, in 1986.
HOW MANY SIGNIFICANT OIL AND GAS FIELDS ARE BEING DISCOVERED IN THE UNITED STATES?
The paper, prepared in 1986, analyzes recent trends in the number of significant oil and gas discoveries
nationwide.
Following up on the AAPG Hedberg Research Conference in November 2006 that Mr. Nehring organized and chaired, he has subsequently made more than a dozen presentations on world oil resources and its implications for future world oil production.
These include:
A special session on Understanding World Oil Resources (chaired by Mr. Nehring) at the Annual AAPG Convention in Long Beach, April 3, 2007. The five presentations given at the session were:
- UNDERSTANDING WORLD OIL RESOURCES: INTRODUCTION
(author and presenter) - UNDISCOVERED WORLD OIL RESOURCES
(assisting author to Ron Charpentier - presenter) - UNDERSTANDING RECOVERY GROWTH
(Co-author with Keith King and presenter) - UNCONVENTIONAL WORLD OIL RESOURCES
(Co-author with Jeff Eppink - presenter) - IMPLICATIONS FOR WORLD OIL PRODUCTION
(author and presenter)
PEAKED OR STILL TO PEAK? WORLD OIL RESOURCES AND FUTURE PRODUCTION
Presentation to Annual AAPG Leadership Conference, Keystone, Colorado, August 18, 2007.
THE CONTRIBUTION OF ALBERTA EHO/BITUMEN TO WORLD OIL PRODUCTION, 2005-2020
Presentation to AAPG Hedberg Research Conference, Banff, Alberta, October 2, 2007.
TAKING RECOVERY GROWTH SERIOUSLY
Presentation to ASPO-USA Houston World Oil Conference, October 18, 2007.
LONE PEAK OR MOUNTAIN RANGE: CHALLENGES FOR FORECASTING PEAK WORLD OIL PRODUCTION
Presentation to EIA, Washington D.C., November 15, 2007.
(Click HERE for this presentation.)
EXPLAINING RECOVERY GROWTH: IMPLICATIONS FOR ASSESSMENT METHODOLOGY
Presentation to USGS Reserve Growth Workshop, Denver, March 11,2008.
(Click HERE for this presentation.)
WORLD OIL RESOURCES AND THE FUTURE OF WORLD OIL PRODUCTION
Presentation to the Western Cape Branch, Geological Society of South Africa, Capetown, August, 2008.
(Click HERE for this presentation.)
TRAVERSING THE MOUNTAIN TOP: WORLD FOSSIL FUEL PRODUCTION TO 2050
published in The Impact of Population Growth on Tomorrow’s World, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal
Society B, Volume 364, pp. 3067-3079, September 2009.
PEAK OIL: WHY, WHEN, AND HOW
Presentation to the Pikes Peak Economic Club, Colorado Springs, February 2010.
(Click HERE for this presentation.)
RECOVERY GROWTH AND THE FUTURE OF WORLD OIL SUPPLY
Presentation to the AAPG Foundation Trustees Annual Meeting, Greensboro, Georgia, October, 2010.
(Click HERE for this presentation.)